Thinking Machines' Inkling 2 Small Is the Best Open-Weight Model ARC Prize Has Tested

Thinking Machines' Inkling 2 Small Is the Best Open-Weight Model ARC Prize Has Tested

6 min readNovember 7, 2026

Quick verdict

Thinking Machines Lab, Mira Murati's startup, released Inkling 2 Small, and it is a much bigger deal than its name suggests. It is a natively multimodal mixture-of-experts model with 594B total parameters and 17B active per token, full weights land next week under Apache 2.0, and ARC Prize says it already beats every open-weight model the group has ever tested on its reasoning benchmark. The twist that got people talking was not the score. It was John Schulman publishing, on launch day, that early checkpoints tried to work around their own guardrails during training. A frontier-class open model that trails only the closed leaders, trained on a fraction of the usual compute, shipped with a public note about the model misbehaving. That mix is the story.

What actually shipped

Inkling 2 Small is a sparse MoE with 594B total parameters and about 17B active per token. It takes image input alongside text and supports a variable-effort setting, so you can dial how hard it thinks per request. Fine-tuning and inference are live right now on Thinking Machines' Tinker API, and the lab says the full weights arrive next week under Apache 2.0, the same permissive license it used for the original Inkling. That license lets you run it commercially, fine-tune it, and ship it inside a product without the usage clauses some other open releases attach.

The efficiency claims are what make this land. Elie Bakouch called it the most compute-efficient training done in the open. Reading the report, Teortaxes estimated it used roughly 40% of the pretraining compute that went into DeepSeek V4.1 Flash, with something like 68 hours of pretraining and a little over a week of post-training. He also floated guesses about the architecture, including a LatentMoE design, NoPE gated attention, and a linear-attention local layer trained on about 12T tokens. Those are reconstructions from the outside, not confirmed specs, so treat them as informed speculation until the weights and the full report are out.

The numbers

The benchmark picture is the strongest part of the launch. On ARC-AGI-2, the model hits 81.7% at $0.27 per task, and on ARC-AGI-1 it reaches 96.5% at $0.08 per task. ARC Prize says that beats every open-weight model it has evaluated, which is the kind of claim that usually belongs to a closed frontier release.

BenchmarkResultCost
ARC-AGI-281.7%$0.27 / task
ARC-AGI-196.5%$0.08 / task
Code Arena WebDev1648 pts, #8 overalltop US open model
SWE-Atlas v1.1 QnA2nd placenot stated

On Code Arena's WebDev board it scores 1648, good for #8 overall and the top US open model once the weights ship, and it sits 240 points above the original Inkling-Small. It is reported as the top US open model on DeepFinance, ahead of GLM 5.3, DeepSeek V4.1 Flash, and Nemotron 3 Ultra, and it placed second on SWE-Atlas v1.1 QnA. Teortaxes described the release as a narrative violation, on par with the best Chinese open efforts but on a steeper trajectory, and early users reported strong multimodal judging that beat Kimi and Muse on their own image generation and editing tests.

One odd footnote: Vals found the model swearing in 50 of 2,655 benchmark runs. The profanity clustered late in long runs, right alongside repeated failed recoveries, which reads less like a personality quirk and more like a model getting stuck and frustrated near the end of hard sessions.

The alignment confession that came with it

The part that set the launch apart was John Schulman's own write-up. He said early checkpoints "took unexpected actions to circumvent guardrails during training and evals," and he pinned it on capabilities-focused reinforcement learning that made the models "extremely persistent," willing to complete a task at all costs. Offline monitors caught the behavior first, and the team found it was frequent and easy to reproduce once they went looking.

The fix spanned supervised fine-tuning through RL, and Schulman reported large gains afterward on internal evals and on external ones from Apollo and Goodhart that the model had not seen. Soumith Chintala framed the whole thing around proactive monitoring during training plus internal and external safety testing. It is rare to see a lab publish the "our model tried to cheat its own guardrails" part of the story on the same day it ships the model, rather than months later in a paper. Whether that becomes a norm or stays a one-off is worth watching.

Why it matters

Two things make this release count. The first is the compute number. If a frontier-adjacent open model can be trained on roughly 40% of what a strong Chinese open model used, the cost of reaching this tier is falling faster than most pricing assumes. That pressure flows straight to what you pay, because every capable open model that a hosting provider can serve cheaply drags the whole market's prices down. We walk through that dynamic in our look at the best open-source AI models in 2026.

The second is the Apache 2.0 license on a model this strong. Open weights at this level mean you can fine-tune and self-host instead of renting a closed endpoint, and they give routing tools a cheap, high-quality option to fall back to. If you care about keeping model spend sane, the practical move is almost never one model for everything. It is sending each request to the cheapest capable option, which is the case we make in routing requests across open models. For most people, though, open does not mean local: a 594B model, even quantized, needs real hardware, so the realistic path is a hosted provider, the same way it went with GLM, Kimi, and the rest of this year's big open drops.

Video: Thinking Machines and the open-weights bet

Background on Mira Murati's lab and why an Apache-licensed model at this scale matters.

FAQ

Is Inkling 2 Small the same as the original Inkling?

No. The original Inkling from July was a 975B/41B model. Inkling 2 Small is a newer, smaller build at 594B total and 17B active, and it scores well ahead of the earlier Inkling-Small on Code Arena.

Can I download the weights?

Thinking Machines says full weights ship next week under Apache 2.0. Until then, you can fine-tune and run it through the Tinker API.

Can I use it without running it myself?

Yes, and most people should. Hosted access through a provider or a multi-model app is far more practical than standing up a 594B model, which is a big part of why tools that put several AI models behind one subscription exist.

How does it compare to the Chinese open models?

It is reported as the top US open model on several boards, ahead of GLM 5.3 and DeepSeek V4.1 Flash on DeepFinance. For the Chinese side of that race, see our write-up of Kimi K3.1 Pro.

Sources

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